Overview
2020 was a stark reminder of just how unpredictable the world is. As events unfolded and policy makers responded it was necessary for banks and other economic agents to continuously update their outlook on how the economy would respond. Markets initially lurched downwards, stocks, commodities and interest rates but then started to look through the immediate impact of the crisis to a recovering economy benefiting from vaccines and the monetary and fiscal tools deployed by policy makers. Many would argue that the markets have been wildly optimistic about recovery, others would disagree. What is clear is that forecasting is much more difficult, and yet far more important, than we might like.
The aim of this course is to provide participants with an overview of approaches to forecasting ranging from the classical linearforecasting methods to non-linear approaches, predicting extreme events and the types of techniques used by traders. While the aim is to present a range of techniques, the course is also frank about their weaknesses and great emphasis is placed on making use of all available techniques together with incorporation of expert judgement.
During the presentation the trainer will develop models using a range of tools to demonstrate techniques. Participants will have opportunities to explore the models further.
Who should attend?
Analysts, Vice Presidents, Directors, Senior Managers in:
• Treasury Functions
• Capital Management
• Governance
• Audit
• Trading
• Risk Management
Trainer
Key Topics
Learning Objectives
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FAQ
The client has the right to cancel his/her registration in the event.
There is a 50% liability on all conference registrations once made, whether the booking was made through our website or via e–mail/ telephone/ fax.
If the client cancels with more than 8 weeks’s advance notice, GLC shall be entitled to an amount equivalent to 50% of the conference fee and 16 EUR administration charge. In case the client has already made his/her payment, this will be deducted from the conference fee GLC has already received and the remainder will be refunded. If no conference fee has been received prior to the cancellation request, GLC will issue an invoice for the cancellation fee (the amount equivalent to 50% of the conference fee and 16 EUR administration charge), which the client must pay immediately upon receipt. No refunds are available for cancellations received with 8 week’s (or less) advance notice or in case the client fails to attend the conference. In these cases, the full amount of the conference fee must be paid.
- Get the timing right.
Many people are afraid to request for training budget, because they can’t seem to find the “perfect time” to do it. Well, there’s no perfect time to ask for it, but there are definitely some moments that are better than others. For instance, if your boss is about to take a two week vacation, he/she might be in a good mood. If he/she just lost a major account, may not be wise at that juncture. - Make a case for yourself
When you ask for budget, you should be prepared with specific details and explanations about what is in it for the company and you’re superior. If you go into a meeting and just say, “I want to get budget for a conference,” it’s likely that your request won’t be taken seriously. If you want to plan ahead, then you should be prepared to explain the following points:
1. Start by stating your accomplishments
2. Show that you’re ready for more responsibility and eager to learn
3. Describe:
a) How this event will increase your productivity?
b) How you will need less supervision
c) How you can bring back the knowledge to the company
4. Follow up